December 13th, 2024 at 08:47 am

Top 5 Expected Outcomes for Express Entry Draws in 2025

As we enter 2025, we will mark the 10-year anniversary of Express Entry in Canada. It has been a rocky road over the last ten years, from the volatility of greater competition in 2024 to the invite-everyone-in-the-pool-with-Canadian-experience days in 2021. While no one knows what Express Entry draws will look like in 2025, we may share our forecasts for next year’s draws.

While this information can help you plan your trip to Canada, relying solely on CRS projections to guide your immigration journey is ultimately ineffective. Why? Because the CRS score selected by IRCC each week is completely out of your hands.

Instead, we recommend focusing on things that you can influence, such as learning French to be eligible for a category-based draw, improving your English skills, or furthering your schooling. We recommend using an online Express Entry points calculator to discover more about how you might enhance your CRS in 2025.

What is the Express Entry Draw?

The Canadian government conducts an “Express Entry draw” to invite people to apply for permanent status through Express Entry. It selects the top applicants from the applications received. A variety of things influence your ranking as a candidate.

Anyone interested in applying for immigration to Canada can submit their application as soon as possible for an invitation.

Top 5 Expected Outcomes for Express Entry Draws in 2025

1. There will be larger bi-weekly CEC draws.

The federal government decided in late October that it would rather prioritize in-Canada applicants (many of whom will enter through the CEC Express Entry draw) until 2025. Many of us expected to see pretty big CEC pulls in Q4 of 2024. However, this did not occur, as October and November 2024 were unusual months for Canadian Experience Class draws. The greatest CEC draw we saw was 500, which is quite tiny given that Canada hopes to acquire 39,000 to 89,000 permanent residents through its in-Canada focus.

We believe that by 2025, CEC draws will number 3,000 to 7,000 every month. In other words, we don’t believe the minor draws we saw in October and November will continue.

2. The high CRS cut-offs will persist.

Unfortunately, we expect the high CRS cut-offs to endure beyond 2025. There are already a large number of temporary residents in Canada, and this backlog may continue throughout 2025 and 2026. This indicates that the CRS cut-off, particularly for CEC draws, will most certainly remain high, over the 510 level.

There is likely to be an increase in the CRS cut-off for PNP draws. There is likely to be a reduction in the allotment for PNP immigration in 2025, therefore provinces may reserve nominations for people with higher-ranking characteristics, such as work experience or study in Canada.

3. Invitation of Approximately 3,000 French speakers each month.

We expect to see approximately one French draw every month, with an average of 2,000-3,500 invitations per month. However, we may see a larger draw earlier in the year (similar to the massive 7,000 invitation draws we witnessed in February 2024). This is because the targets for 2025 remain quite high, yet draw activity has been somewhat moderate in Q4 of 2024.

As a result, we anticipate that future Express Entry applicants will show greater interest in French language classes. We anticipate significant competition for these French-speaking positions beginning around June or July 2025.

4. Trades and Healthcare Draws 2–3 times in 2025.

We know that IRCC intends to continue prioritizing persons working in trades and healthcare industries through Express Entry draws in 2025. However, we do not expect IRCC to enhance its draw activities for workers in these occupations. In other words, we anticipate approximately 2-3 draws for healthcare personnel and 2-3 draws for tradespeople in 2025.

5. Elimination of Points for job offers

Given Marc Miller’s public comments about it and the extensive LMIA fraud that is now going on, it appears that they will withdraw the 50–200 points for job offers.

In 2023, 20,716 invitations were sent to candidates who matched the criterion for additional points based on a genuine job offer.

There were 110,266 invitations issued in total, which means that around 18% of candidates invited to apply for permanent residence through the Express Entry system received these additional points. This is a sizable amount, therefore it’s probable that this potential change will affect many of you reading this list.

If you want to leverage an approved job offer to boost your points in 2025, you might find our guide to raising your CRS score and how learning French can help you immigrate to Canada useful.

Key Takeaways

• Express Entry draws will look very different in 2025, particularly for Provincial Nominee Program candidates.
• High CRS cut-offs prevailed throughout 2024, and we expect this to continue throughout 2025.
• French draws will most certainly continue at a monthly rate, with between 2,000-3,500 invites issued on average.
• Trades and healthcare draws will most likely occur once each quarter.

Living in Canada 

Canada boasts one of the world’s greatest economies and a reasonable cost of living, so it’s no surprise that so many people choose to live and work there.

The world’s longest shoreline, Niagara Falls, the Rocky Mountains, maple syrup, and ice hockey are famous in Canada. Did you know that the world’s second-largest country has a low crime rate and is routinely regarded as one of the most peaceful places to live?

The fact that English is the primary language (with French spoken primarily in Quebec province) is another significant lure for expats. Ottawa, Vancouver, Edmonton, Oakville, and St. Albert are popular Canadian job seekers’ destinations.

Combine this with the warm and accepting spirit of its people, and Canada becomes even more alluring.

Working in Canada

On average, you’ll be expected to work 40 hours a week, Monday through Friday, though this will vary depending on the firm and role.

Workers are entitled to at least two weeks of annual leave after one year of paid labor, which increases to three weeks after five years of service.

Canada has five public holidays (New Year’s Day, Good Friday, Canada Day, Labour Day, and Christmas Day), plus an additional six for government personnel. Different provinces and territories also celebrate their own distinct holidays.

The typical Canadian pay ranges between CAD$50,000 (£29,481) and $60,000 (£35,377) per year, with each province setting its own minimum wage for every job. In general, the cost of living in Canada is cheaper than in the United Kingdom and the United States. While Toronto and Vancouver are considered costly places to live, Ottawa, Calgary, Edmonton, and Montreal are not.

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