July 2024 Visa Bulletin Predictions & June Visa Bulletin Results & Analysis

A time of sustained optimism is heralded by the June 2024 Visa Bulletin, which features notable improvements in priority dates for several employment- and family-based categories. This bulletin highlights the USCIS’s continuous efforts to expedite the visa application and petitioning process, which benefits petitioners and applicants in concrete ways.

We may learn more about how the supply of visas is changing and how USCIS reforms are affecting the demand for visas by examining the most recent updates and trends.

June 2024 Visa Bulletin

Arriving with a familiar theme of optimism, the June 2024 Visa Bulletin continues the trend started by its predecessors earlier in the year. The statement continues the positive trend of positive updates, bringing about a new wave of exciting priority date changes and exceeding expectations. The quantity of favorable changes noted in June is comparable to the May 2024 Visa Bulletin statement and is particularly noteworthy. One of the most important months of the year

USCIS is committed to expediting the visa application process. The USCIS is committed to expediting the visa application process. It had never before been observed that there had been so many consecutively positive shifts. Both categories that had changed this year on several occasions and those that had remained unchanged for a few Visa Bulletin announcements saw date pushes in the June Visa Bulletin.

June 2024 Visa Bulletin Results

The June 2024 Visa Bulletin results and the updated priority dates for the family and employment-based categories are shown below.

Family-based final action date

• F1 Mexico: October 15, 2001, to January 1, 2002, plus 2 months and 17 days
• F2 all other chargeable areas: June 1, 2021, to November 15, 2021, plus 5 months and 14 days
• F2 China: June 1, 2021, to November 15, 2021, plus 5 months and 14 days
• F2 India: June 1, 2021, to November 15, 2021, plus 5 months and 14 days
• F2 Mexico: November 2, 2020, to February 1, 2021, plus 2 months and 30 days
• F2 Philippines: June 1, 2021, to November 15, 2021, plus 5 months and 14 days
• F2b Mexico: March 1, 2004, to July 8, 2004, plus 4 months and 7 Days
• F3 all other chargeable areas: January 1, 2010, to March 1, 2010, plus 2 months
• F3 China: January 1, 2010, to March 1, 2010, plus 2 months
• F3 India: January 1, 2010, to March 1, 2010, plus 2 months
• F3 Mexico: July 22, 1999, to December 1, 1999, plus 4 months and 9 days
• F3 Philippines: August 1, 2002, to August 22, 2002, plus 21 days
• F4 Mexico: January 22, 2001, to February 1, 2001, plus 10 days
• F4 Philippines: September 8, 2003, to December 1, 2003, plus 2 months and 23 days

Date of Filing Application

• F2b Mexico: September 1, 2004, to November 1, 2004, plus 2 months
• F3 all other chargeable areas: June 1, 2010, to September 1, 2010, plus 3 months
• F3 China: June 1, 2010, to September 1, 2010, plus 3 months
• F3 India: June 1, 2010, to September 1, 2010, plus 3 months
• F4 Mexico: April 22, 2001, to April 27, 2001, plus 5 days
• F3 all other chargeable areas: March 10, 2001, to June 1, 2010, plus 1 month
• F3 China: March 10, 2001, to June 1, 2010, plus 1 month
• F3 India: March 10, 2001, to June 1, 2010, plus 1 month
• F4 India: April 8, 2006, to June 15, 2006, plus 2 months and 7 Days
• F4 Philippines: April 22, 2005, to June 1, 2005, plus 1 month and 8 Days

Employment-based Final Action Date

• EB3 India: August 15, 2012, to August 22, 2012, plus 7 Days
• Other workers India: August 15, 2012, to August 22, 2012, plus 7 Days

Date of Filing Application

• No changes

Will decreased Visa demand lead to positive shifts?

We were starting to fear that priority dates would retrogress, as we discussed in our piece about predictions. We had anticipated that the recent changes would result in a rise in the demand for visas, as we have previously observed, because of the USCIS’s recent attempts to expedite the visa application and approval process.

The demand for visas and the USCIS’s capacity to handle those visas have a significant impact on the Visa Bulletin outcomes. There was concern that the USCIS would raise the number of dates even though they were afraid of an increase in demand for visas as a result of the numerous reforms they had implemented over the past several months.

The truth turned out to be different. According to a recent USCIS release, fewer visa applications have been submitted as a result of the process’s changes. Applications for visas have decreased by 38.6% for the H-1B 2025 Lottery this year. Predictably, these measures sought to guarantee improved quality by enforcing stronger regulations.

As a result of a decline in low-quality applications, the demand for visas has declined. Since it indicates quicker processing times, the decline in demand for visas is a good development, especially for individuals who have been waiting for more favorable dates in the Visa Bulletin.

July 2024 Visa Bulletin Predictions

Even though there is less of a need for visas, we still need to be cautious and practical. Many categories in the June Visa Bulletin witnessed small gains, with rises as little as 5 days, despite the generally favorable trend in priority date adjustments. Even if there might not be much demand for some of these categories, the lack of progress is concerning.

Several prominent categories also saw slight advances, in contrast to the notable pushes seen in the preceding months. Even if these changes were for the better, it is nevertheless noteworthy that so many categories had such little change. Even though the precise causes of these patterns are unknown, it’s critical to keep an eye out for any changes in the July 2024 Visa Bulletin.

Is there enough evidence to suggest that we should be concerned that the upcoming updates to the Visa Bulletin will show an even smaller upward shift before eventually showing stagnation or even regression?

Even while we would all like to see more improvements, there’s a chance that the quantity of improvements will decline or even remain the same. However, we’re still optimistic that the July 2024 Visa Bulletin will carry on the recent trend of favorable changes and priority dates, making it the seventh month in a row of positive improvements during the 2024 Visa Bulletin season.

We need to be on the lookout for any changes in priority dates and visa availability as we await the July 2024 Visa Bulletin. Even if there has been improvement in recent months, there can be new opportunities or obstacles in the upcoming Bulletin.

Stakeholders may effectively manage the changing Visa landscape by remaining informed and flexible. Let’s keep an eye on the situation and wait for more information in the next Visa Bulletin.